Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bryant-Denny Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Louisiana (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +36.0 | 0% | ✔ | 0 | +74.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Alabama (14-1) | 56 | 54 | -36.0 | 100% | 74 | -74.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kidd Brewer Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| South Alabama (3-9) | 7 | 10 | +38.0 | 0% | ✔ | 3 | +53.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Appalachian State (11-2) | 52 | 48 | -38.0 | 100% | 56 | -53.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Allen E. Paulson Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas State (8-5) | 21 | 21 | +7.0 | 27% | ✔ | 21 | +6.5 | 28% | ✔ | |
| Georgia Southern (10-3) | 28 | 28 | -7.0 | 73% | 27 | -6.5 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Georgia State Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| ULM (6-6) | 14 | 31 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 40 | -20.0 | 94% | ✘ | |
| Georgia State (2-10) | 46 | 30 | +1.0 | 46% | 20 | +20.0 | 6% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Veterans Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Coastal Carolina (5-7) | 21 | 18 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | 7 | +40.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Troy (10-3) | 45 | 36 | -18.0 | 92% | 47 | -40.0 | 100% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.